Sunday, October 21, 2018

PIGSKIN 2018: Week Seven

Week Seven

Week One
Week Two
Week Three
Week Four
Week Five
Week Six

Week Six Record:  2-11
Overall Record:  26-50-3
Schmear of the Week:  3-3
Bagels in the Basket:  -29

1st and Ten:
  • Rams remain the lone undefeated team in football.
  • During the week, Bill Belichick corrected a reporter when asked about Lawrence Taylor, saying there's L.T., then there's everyone else.
  • If you've been going against my picks these last two weeks, you've doing really well.  Your welcome.
2nd and Long:
  • Entering Week Seven, the Dolphins are still in the AFC East race.  Patriots aren't used to having intra-division competition.
No Gain:
  • Although highly doubtful, perhaps Julio Jones can teach Odell Beckham a thing or two about humility when the two run into each other Monday night at Atlanta.  After all, they're having the same type of season.  In fact, Gronk isn't scoring many TD's either.
  • Le'Veon Bell.
  • Dez Bryant still looking for a home.
  • Oakland's Marshawn Lynch will miss upwards of a month with a groin injury.
  • How do you feel about your team being included in the following list of one-win teams: Giants; Raiders; Colts; Cardinals.
  • Giants have a hot mess on their hands.  They seem to have forgotten lessons learned from former problem children Jeremy Shockey and Tiki Barber.  Odell Beckham continues reducing the famed (and dwindling) Giants Tradition into nothing less than back page fodder.

Friday Line ~ NYDN

FALCONS -5 1/2 (Giants) *Monday
The Falcons are getting back several key players on both sides of the ball.  Even if they're not 100% healthy, Atlanta still presents more than the Giants can handle at this moment.  Above all else, the Falcons are a desperate team which makes them especially dangerous.  Meanwhile, the Giants offensive line is going from bad to worse; right guard Patrick Omameh is questionable with a knee injury.  Or, is he actually being benched?
Loss; 23-20 Falcons

Vikings -3 (JETS)
Will the real Vikings please show up?  Minnesota follow two consecutive losses with unimpressive victories over the Eagles and Cardinals.  Now Dalvin Cook listed as out, meaning the Jets defense can better focus on Kirk Cousins.  Gang Green has scored 76-points over their last two victory.  Unfortunately for Sam Darnold, Quincy Enunwa is listed as out.  So much for that ...
WIN; 37-17 Vikings

Chargers -6 1/2 (Titans) *London
Seems as if the NFL dumped another Parity Bowl upon our friends across the pond.  Titans are coming off getting whitewashed by the Ravens, and otherwise continue playing yawn inspiring football.  The Chargers have only played two legitimate contenders to date and lost to them both.  They are the better team nevertheless.  Although they'll be without RB Melvin Gordon, their pass rush and a red-hot Philip Rivers should make this an easy cover.
Loss; 20-19 Chargers

BEARS +3 (Patriots)
The Bears defense is experiencing a few aches and pains.  Khalil Mack is nursing a barking ankle.  Chicago still has others who can pressure (the statue) Tom Brady.  Plus, New England's starting right tackle is out.  Rob Gronkowski and his back-up tight end are both out this week.  If Mitch Trubisky can somehow lead the Bears to an early lead, the Patriots have trouble playing catch-up on the road.
Loss; 38-31 Patriots

BUCS -3 (Browns)
The Bucs are coming off three straight losses and have fired their defensive coordinator as a result.  Players know that when coaches get fired it's usually their fault.  Thus I expect a reinvigorated effort against the Browns.  Baker Mayfield is a nice story, but has no top flight receiver to speak of.
PUSH; 26-23 Bucs  o.t.

DOLPHINS +3 (Lions)
Although they screwed me last week, the Sea Mammals are undefeated at home, and overall have adequately demonstrated a measure of consistency ... when Ryan Tannehill plays, that is.  Instead, Brock Osweiler makes another start.  I'll take my chances with Miami because the Lions won't be generating much of a pass rush minus DE Ezekiel Ansah.
Loss; 32-21 Lions

Panthers +4 1/2 (EAGLES)
Doesn't matter who is favored, I'm taking the points either way.
WIN; 21-17 Panthers

COLTS -7 1/2 (Bills)
I ate a bison burger the other day, and it was good.  The Buffalo Bills are not.  They've scored 76 points all season.  I don't even know who their quarterback is.  It just so happens the Colts have allowed the most points in the AFC, and the third most in the league.  All I'm asking from Indy is for a few key defensive stops - that's all.  C'mon, man.
WIN; 37-5 Colts

CHIEFS -6 (Bengals)
Defense be damned!  Get ready for a high-scoring shootout.  Arrowhead Stadium is not a friendly place to be.  The Bengals score a ton of points, but give up just as many.  The Chiefs allow even more points, but lead the NFL in total points scored.  They also own a +43 DIFF, which equates to an average of seven points per game.  The Bengals +16 DIFF translates into an average of two points per game.  That's how I justify laying the six.
WIN; 45-10 Chiefs

JAGUARS -4 1/2 (Texans)
After three straight victories, it appears as if the Texans have straightened themselves out.  I'm being kind, of course, but they won't have Leonard Fournette to deal with.  With a share of the division lead on the line, I expect a defensive struggle.  After two straight losses, the Jags are home where they'll lick their wounds.  I still like their defense against Deshaun Watson.  I'll admit, though, this spread spells trouble.
Loss; 20-7 Texans

RAVENS -2 1/2 (Saints)
Baltimore ain't the Big Easy, Drew.  The Saints reached 40-points three times this season - twice at Dome, and once on the road at Atlanta (whom have allowed the most points in the NFL to date).  Coming off a shutout of the Titans, I like the Ravens #1 ranked defense playing in front of their home crowd and arresting sole possession of first place.
Loss; 24-23 Saints

D.C. HOGS -1 1/2 (Cowboys)
I actually believe the Cowboys should be favored.  But I'll go ahead and bet Washington's front seven neutralizes Ezekiel Elliott, and that Alex Smith takes care of the rest.
WIN; 20-17 Hogs

Rams -10 (49ERS)
I can't think of a single reason why the Rams should not cover.  This is why they call it, gambling.
WIN; 39-10 Rams

Schmear of the Week: (3-3)
Chargers -6 1/2

Good luck, and have a great Football Sunday everyone!

Week Seven Record:  6-6-1
Overall Record:  32-56-4
Schmear of the Week:  3-4
Bagels in the Basket:  -33

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