SCOREBOARD
Week Seven Record: 7-5
Overall Record (ATS): 46-44-2
Schmear of the Week: 6-1
Bagels in the Basket: +15
WEEK EIGHT
Friday Line ~ NYP/MGM
Bengals -10 1/2 JETS
I was uncomfortable picking against the Bengals last week versus the Ravens. Lesson learned. Meanwhile, the Jets are still picking up the pieces after last week's crash landing at New England. Zach Wilson is out. Mike White is likely to start over recently acquired Joe Flacco. To their credit, the Jets held each of their first five opponents under 30 points. Then came the Patriots. Bengals should be good for at least 30 points. I'm so sure the Jets will even score.
Loss; 34-31 Jets
FALCONS -3 Panthers
The Falcons are a coin flip from an Atlanta point of view. Whereas the Panthers have fallen apart like wet toilet paper. They're nothing without Christian McCaffrey, who was involved in 60% of Carolina's plays from scrimmage. Sam, I Am, just isn't ...
Loss; 19-13 Panthers
BILLS -14 Dolphins
Worried about the points? In week two, the Bills shutout out the Fish 35-0 at Miami. Tua was hurt in that game. Now he's back. So what! Buffalo has scored no less than 30 points in their last five games and twice broke 40 points.
WIN; 26-11 Bills
BEARS +4 Niners
This is the perfect opponent for the Niners to get on track. The Bears feature the NFC's worst offense. Yet, somehow they have three wins. Something ponderous will happen. Niners will shoot themselves in the foot.
Loss; 33-22 Niners
Steelers + 3 1/2 BROWNS
Baker Mayfield is still banged up. After last season's playoff loss to the Browns, Coach Tomlin, Big Ben, and the Steelers really want to win this game. Their defense is still formidable.
WIN; 15-10 Steelers
LIONS +3 1/2 Eagles
The Lions have a heart, and it's time they win their first game. Their worst performance came in week two against the Packers. They've been within a touchdown of their opponents in every game since.
Loss; 44-6 Eagles
Titans -1 1/2 COLTS
No disrespect to the Colts, who are tough, but smashmouth is starting to surge. Tennessee's loss to the Jets was a complete fluke - any given day. The Colts have wins over the Dolphins, Texans, and the Niners, who all have losing records. The Titans defeated the Colts by nine points in week three at Tennessee.
WIN; 34-31 Titans
Rams -14 1/2 TEXANS
Four times the Texans have been held below ten points. This will be game number five. Houston has scored a mere eight points over the last two weeks. The Texans have averaged just ten points per game after opening the season with 37 points against the Jaguars.
WIN; 38-22 Rams
CHARGERS -4 Patriots
If this spread were more expansive, I'd lean the other way. The Bolt's most recent loss against the Ravens doesn't jive with the way their season is really going. I respect what the rebuilding Patriots are doing, but they've only defeated the Jets and Texans.
Loss; 27-24 Patriots
SEAHAWKS -3 1/2 Jaguars
Geno Smith versus Trevor Lawrence ... what's a gambling degenerate to do? At their best, the Jags erupted for a season-high 23 points last week against Miami. However, Seattle has been held to 20-points or less in each of their previous three games. The Seahawks should still be better at home.
WIN; 31-7 Seahawks
BRONCOS -3 Washington
The Broncos are a step down from Washington's recent competition. Denver's three victories have pretty literally come against the worst teams in football since 2017. But I'm going to trust Teddy Bridgewater against anything WFC can throw at him. I have no idea what Washington is doing. Their football team is terrible, too.
WIN; 17-10 Broncos
Buccaneers -4 1/2 SAINTS
I expect a good game. The Saints being limited to 13 points by the Seahawks might be a warning flag. Although Tampa is not trustworthy against the spread, they're still a more well-rounded team.
Loss; 36-27 Saints
Cowboys -2 1/2 VIKINGS
I expect a dogfight. I also envision Ezekiel Elliott running to daylight. Holding on and winning by a field goal sounds perfectly reasonable to me.
WIN; 20-16 Cowboys
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
CHIEFS -10 Giants
There is no more vulnerable team in football right now than the Chiefs. But Andy Reid's ability to coach through this cannot go unspoken. The Chiefs are a talented but desperate team which makes them very dangerous. Coming off last week's declawing of the Panthers, the Giants are feeling pretty good about themselves as well. Both teams are gassed up with motivation. I can actually see both quarterbacks scrambling out of the pocket and completing big plays downfield. But I can also see Patrick Mahomes completing twice as many.
Loss; 20-17 Chiefs
Schmear of the Week
Bengals -10 1/2
LOSS
Good luck and have a great Football Sunday!
POSTGAME
Week Eight Record: 7-7
Overall Record (ATS): 53-51-2
Schmear of the Week: 6-2
Bagels in the Basket: +12
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