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Thursday, October 03, 2019

N.Y. Yankees: Minnesota Twins Pose More Trouble Than Meets The Eye

From the desk of: BLAME CARLOS MAY



AMERICAN LEAGUE DIVISION SERIES
GAME ONE
Minnesota Twins
vs.
New York Yankees
FROM
161 Street at River Avenue

This marks the seventh meeting in post-season play since 2003 between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins.  Suffice it to say things have not gone well for the Minneapolis/St.Paul Nine.  The Yankees own a 16-2 record in post-season games against the Twins.
  • 2003: NYY def. MIN; 3-1
  • 2004: NYY def. MIN; 3-1
  • 2006: NYY def. MIN; 3-0
  • 2009: NYY def. MIN; 3-0
  • 2010: NYY def. MIN; 3-0
  • 2017: NYY def. MIN; WC

The Twins averaged a 91-71 regular season record during the six aforementioned seasons.  This year Minnesota will offer the Bronx Bombers no quarter.  They come into these playoffs with a 101-61 regular season record.  The Yankees finish 103-59, while the Houston Astros finish with an American League best 107-55 mark.  New York won the regular season series versus Minnesota four games against two, outscoring them by a 43-38 margin.

STRENGTH OF DIVISION
  • A.L. EAST: Tampa; Boston; Toronto; and Baltimore; post a combined a 301-347 (.464) record.
  • A.L. CENTRAL: Cleveland; Chicago; Kansas City, Detroit, post a combined 271-375 (.419) record.

AMERICAN LEAGUE RANK
Link: STATS/New York Yankees

I - PLATE
  • RUNS SCORED: NYY #1 (943); MIN #2 (939)
  • HOME RUNS: MIN #1 (307); NYY #2 (306)
  • TOT BASES: MIN #1 (2,832); NYY #3 (2,735)
  • TEAM AVG: MIN #2 (.274); NYY #4 (.267)
  • TEAM OBP: NYY #3 (.339); MIN #4 (.338)
  • TEAM SLG: MIN #2 (.495); NYY #3 (.490)

II - MOUND
  • TEAM ERA: MIN #5 (4.18); NYY #6 (4.31)
  • TEAM WHiP: NYY #t5 (1.30); MIN #t5 (1.30)
  • AVG AGAINST: NYY #5 (.248); MIN #8 (.257)
  • STRIKEOUTS: NYY #4 (1,534); MIN #6 (1,463)
  • SAVES: NYY #t1 (50); MIN #t1 (50)
  • * BLOWN SAVES: NYY 28; MIN 22

In a short five game series with a travel break after game two, there's every chance Aaron Boone limits his starters to no more than four innings of work.  Masahiro Tanaka, J.A. Happ, and James Paxton average under six innings per start to begin with.  J.A. Happ owns a 4.91 ERA through 161.0 innings pitched.  Tanaka this season pitches the second most innings of his career but also posts the second highest ERA (4.45) of his six year career with the Yankees.  Of the three, only James Paxton posts a season ERA (3.82) below four.  The biggest unknown is Luis Severino.  He has appeared in three games since returning from a season long absence, yielding just two earned runs on six hits with six walks and 17 strikeouts through twelve innings pitched.

The Yankees struck out 1,437 times this season which ranks seventh most in the American League.  That's a vast improvement over previous years. Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, and Gary Sanchez, have missed considerable time with various injuries.  But just in time the band is back together.  Out since Sept. 12, Gary Sanchez is back from a groin injury.  He played two games against the Texas Rangers going 1 for 6 with four strikeouts.  In 396 at-bats this season he has struck out 125 times.  Giancarlo Stanton returned to action on Sept. 18, and has since struck out eleven times in 28 at-bats.  For the season Stanton has fanned 24 times in just 59 at-bats.  Then there's Aaron Judge with his 141 strikeouts through 378 at-bats.  That's 552 strikeouts in 833 at-bats!  The Minnesota Twins struck out the fourth least times this season.



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